WASHINGTON โ€” A NASA decision to replace a carbon-observing satellite lost in a February launch mishap could come at the expense of other Earth-observing missions entering development, according to Ed Weiler, the U.S. space agencyโ€™s associate administrator for science.

Speaking during a Sept. 28 American Institute of Aeronautics and Astronautics luncheon here, Weiler said officials in Congress and the White House are working on a plan to replace the capabilities lost when NASAโ€™s Orbiting Carbon Observatory (OCO) was destroyed during a failed Feb. 24 launch attempt aboard a Taurus XL rocket. Weiler said a decision is expected in the coming weeks. But he cautioned that any plans to replace the $209 million mission, designed to make precise measurements of atmospheric carbon dioxide, could delay other projects in the pipeline, including the Soil Moisture Active Passive (SMAP) mission and ICESAT-2, which is a follow-on to NASAโ€™s Ice, Cloud, and land Elevation Satellite that was launched in 2003.

โ€œOur statement is if the country really wants to do another OCO, theyโ€™ve got to understand that with a fixed budget [in NASAโ€™s Earth Science Division], itโ€™s a choice between OK, we can do OCO right now, but you know that SMAP, that soil moisture thing youโ€™re really worried about in the southwest desert? And that thing called ICESAT that watches the ice disappear? Those have to get delayed further,โ€ Weiler said.

Although both missions are still under study, SMAP is tenatively slated to launch in 2013 followed by ICESAT-2 in 2015, according to the NASA Science Web site.

The 441-kilogram OCO spacecraft was built exclusively to map carbon dioxide levels on Earth. The satellite carried a single three-channel spectrometer to make its detailed measurements and was slated to launch into a near-polar, sun-synchronous orbit. After eight years of development, OCOโ€™s loss was a blow to global climate research. Climate scientists expected OCO to take the lead in an international collection of weather monitoring spacecraft known as the A-Train, an ad hoc constellation orbiting the Earth to build a 3-D picture of the planetโ€™s weather and climate change, as well as understanding human contributions to global warming.

โ€œThere are a lot of people working the OCO issue right now,โ€ Weiler said, including officials in Congress, the White House Office of Management and Budget, and the Office of Science and Technology Policy. โ€œWeโ€™re hoping for final resolution in the next two to four weeks.โ€

NASA has a number of options for recovering the capabilities lost when OCO crashed into the ocean near Antarctica earlier this year. Among the options under consideration, according to a report accompanying the House version of the 2010 Commerce, Justice, Science Appropriations bill, are: continuing to operate the Atmospheric Infrared Sounder aboard the Aqua satellite; accelerate development of an OCO follow-on spacecraft known as ASCENDS, which is currently targeted for a 2013 launch; or building and flying another OCO.

Both OCO and its launch vehicle were built by Dulles, Va.-based Orbital Sciences Corp.

Weiler said NASAโ€™s Earth Science Division, led by Michael Freilich, has suffered a lack of funding for โ€œmany, many yearsโ€ and that the division has a number of projects in the queue ahead of OCO. He cited several โ€œfoundational missionsโ€ that must be funded because they underpin the latest 10-year plan for space-based Earth observation put forward by the National Academy of Sciences. These missions include the next Landsat Data Continuity Mission, also known as Landsat 8, and NASAโ€™s Global Precipitation Measurement mission, a next-generation Earth science effort that includes a core spacecraft scheduled for launch in July 2013 and a low-inclination satellite scheduled for launch in November 2014. In addition, NASAโ€™s Glory climate-monitoring satellite and the National Polar-orbiting Environmental Satellite System Preparatory Project are also in the queue.

โ€œWeโ€™ve got to finish those, and they cost X, and on top of that youโ€™ve got the decadal from the National Academy of Science, so you must do these, and of course all the costs were under-costed,โ€ he said. โ€œBut on top of that youโ€™ve got things you didnโ€™t really budget for, because you donโ€™t budget or plan for things going into the [ocean near Antarctica].โ€

Weiler said the choice to replace OCO and risk delaying other missions is not his to make.

โ€œThatโ€™s a choice thatโ€™s above my pay-grade, Mikeโ€™s pay-grade, even [NASA Administrator Charles Boldenโ€™s] pay-grade,โ€ he said. โ€œYouโ€™ve got a billion-, or a billion-and-a-half-dollar program, and you can do a lot with that, but you canโ€™t do everything.โ€